Man United vs. Liverpool prediction, odds, betting tips and best bets for Premier league rivalry match Sunday

09-01-2024
7 min read
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Two big Premier League clubs with a point to prove clash in an early-season rivalry matchup as Manchester United host Liverpool at Old Trafford on Sunday.

Both sides are in a place where victory would seal significant hope, promise, and clout for the season and prove they're moving in the right direction.

Liverpool have started well under Arne Slot but still must prove they can challenge for a league title after the managerial change, with plenty of doubters to their viability at the top of the EPL and Europe in Slot's first season. Man United, meanwhile, are hoping to make strides after backing boss Erik ten Hag for another season.

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We're set to see the true colors of both sides clad in red, which will shape how we view the next few months of the Premier League season.

MORE: A complete guide to betting on soccer in the United States

Man United vs. Liverpool prediction, odds

  • Moneyline lean: Draw (+300)
  • Score prediction: Man United 0-0 Liverpool

We still haven't learned a ton about either of these teams through the first two matches of the Premier League season.

Liverpool clobbered two poor defensive sides in Ipswich Town and Brentford, but do they have enough of a grasp on Arne Slot's tactics yet to break down a more organized side like Man United? Meanwhile, do Manchester United have the firepower to get through Liverpool, having significantly underperformed their expected goals against both Fulham and Brighton?

These two teams have played some barnburners in recent years, but they've also logged two scoreless draws since the start of 2021, including in last year's league fixture at Anfield.

  BetMGM
(USA)
Man United win +270
Draw +300
Liverpool win -120
Both teams
to score
Y: -250
N: +170
Over / Under
3.5 goals
O: +100
U: -135
Liverpool
-0.5 goals
-110
Man United
+0.5 goals
-130

Man United vs. Liverpool match facts

  • Date: Sunday, Sep. 1, 2024
  • Kickoff Time: 4 p.m. local (11 a.m. ET / 8 a.m. PT)
  • Location: Old Trafford (Manchester, England)
  • Referee: Anthony Taylor, VAR: John Brooks
  • Last meeting: Man United 2-2 Liverpool (Apr. 7, 2024 | Premier League)
 

Man United vs. Liverpool best bet

  • Pick: Under 2.5 total goals
  • Odds: +175 (BetMGM)

Both of these sides have the attacking talent to play out an entertaining rivalry match, but there's also plenty of reason to believe that this line presents significant value at 7/4 odds.

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As stated above, Manchester United wildly misfired in front of goal over their first two matches, scoring just twice despite putting together 25 shots worth 3.86 xG. That's a value of 0.16 xG per shot, which puts them second in the Premier League behind only Manchester City — they're getting very high-value opportunities and still coming up empty in front of goal, a worrying trend.

Liverpool have also been poor in front of net, scoring four goals on 5.30 xG split perfectly evenly across the 37 shots in their two games. Mo Salah looks a menace and Dominik Szoboszlai is producing in the No. 10 role, but the finishing still lags behind. With the two clubs against their best defensively adept opponent so far, finishing will be key, and both have struggled so far.

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Man United vs. Liverpool prop bet

  • Pick: Most cards — Man United
  • Odds: -105 (DraftKings)
  • Pick: Man United over 2.5 cards
  • Odds: -125 (DraftKings)

In the last eight competitive matches between these two sides, they've collectively racked up 44 cards, or an astonishing 5.5 per match. Of those, Manchester United were shown 31, over 70 percent of the cards, an outlandish disparity. Of those eight matches, Man United racked up more cards than Liverpool in seven of them, while they finished level in the other.

Quite simply, Erik ten Hag has had a discipline issue throughout his time in charge of Manchester United. They picked up two bookings against Fulham and Ipswich Town to start the season, and the needle always ramps up between these two sides. The total match over would need them to rack up five cards, a high bar to clear in any game, and that comes at -145 odds. Instead, we focus on the Red Devils specifically which presents more value.

Man United vs. Liverpool live stream, TV channel

  TV channel Streaming
USA  — Peacock
Canada  — Fubo Canada
UK Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Premier League Sky Go

This match will be available to watch in the United States exclusively on Peacock, as NBC Sports have opted to put this huge rivalry match only for subscribers of their streaming platform.

In Canada, every Premier League match of the 2024/25 season can be found in one place on Fubo.

Domestically in the UK, the match will be televised and streamed on Sky Sports platforms.