Betting Wild Card Weekend is always a blast, and this Monday's clash in Orchard Park at Highmark Stadium between the visiting Pittsburgh Steelers (10-7) and the Buffalo Bills (11-6) has some great props for bettors to consider. The game was originally scheduled for Sunday but postponed until Monday because of snow and wind in Buffalo.
Some might have trepidation about which side to lay their bets on in a game with a 10-point spread that might be played in snow and high winds, but wild card bettors who feel that way can focus their money-making efforts on enticing props that we’ll analyze below.
With the OVER/UNDER set at just , oddsmakers aren’t anticipating more than a few flurries of offense during this tilt, but that doesn’t mean winning prop bets on this game will be any tougher than doing so for playoff games that NFL fans will attend while wearing T-shirts this weekend.
Be thankful that you don’t have to layer up like you’re going to a frigid January game in Buffalo, and warm yourself and your wallet up by seeing which Steelers vs. Bills prop bets could make dollars and sense to place on Monday.
Steelers vs. Bills odds: Point spread, moneyline, total for AFC wild card game
Here are live NFL betting odds for Steelers vs. Bills:
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Steelers vs. Bills player rushing props, odds
Here are the latest rushing props for a matchup expected to heavily feature both ground games with snow in the forecast.
Steelers vs. Bills player receiving props, odds
Both passing attacks could be dramatically affected by a mix of wind and snow in Buffalo. Here are the passing props markets at the best U.S. sportsbooks.
Steelers vs. Bills receiving props & odds: Bettors shouldn’t expect a high-volume passing attack for either team
The old timers used to say that only three things can happen when you pass the ball and two of them are bad, and that adage will ring especially true for this contest.
Couple the frigid and windy weather with Mike Tomlin’s likely strategy to rely on Najee Harris and Jaylen Warren to shorten the game and run the ball a ton rather than ask Mason Rudolph to be a gunslinger, and it’s easy to see why oddsmakers set the over/under for his passing yards at and just for Josh Allen.
Wild Card props pick: Pat Friermuth OVER Receiving Yards
Swirling winds and a rock hard field aren’t conducive to deep balls, and with an “on the safe side” kind of game plan being the probable recipe for Pittsburgh this week it stands to reason that their TE will be regularly targeted throughout the game even if the total points scored stays in the very low range as projected.
Wild Card props pick: Stefon Diggs UNDER Receiving Yards
Expect Bills star wideout Stefon Diggs to tally less than 59.5 yards in these blustery conditions for the exact same reasons that we expect Friermuth to net over 20.5 yards. TEs are likely going to be targeted just as much if not more than WRs, and if the Bills build a lead in the second half don’t expect them to be throwing the ball much at all.
Wild Card props pick: Najee Harris OVER Receiving Yards
See our Mason Rudolph rushing projection below, because the same line of reasoning applies to inferring that Harris will notch at least 8 receiving yards during this wild card showdown. There won’t be a lot of passing, but all it takes is one or two screen passes, and boom Harris hits that total.
Steelers vs. Bills rushing props & odds: Two tiny bets stick out
Wild Card props pick: Mason Rudolph OVER rushing yards
Nobody is going to peg Rudolph as a scrambling QB by any stretch of the term, but all it takes is one play breaking down and flushing him from the pocket to net 5 yards on the ground. Expecting much more than that from him might not be the hottest betting angle to take this game, but 4.5 is an obtainable benchmark to hit.
Wild Card props pick: Najee Harris OVER rushing yards
Najee Harris has posted 26-112 and 27-122 stat lines in his last two games, and it seems probable that the Steelers' bell cow back will be closer to 100 yards on the ground this week than 50. Color us shocked if Mike Tomlin rolls out of bed and decides that the Pittsburgh offense is going to employ a run and shoot passing attack against a 2-seed team at home in the playoffs.
Where to bet Steelers vs. Bills receiving and rushing prop odds
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